Daily Analysis 17/01/2023


EURUSD

While there was no important data flow announced on the first trading day of the week on the European front, developments regarding the agenda were followed. In the survey conducted on the policy to be implemented by the European Central Bank in the coming period, it was expected that the fight against inflation could be ended within 6 months, interest rate hikes could be terminated and interest rate cuts could begin in July. The softening of the expectations that the Fed will be aggressive and the decrease in energy prices on the European front stand out as the headlines supporting the weakening in the dollar index and the recovery in the risk appetite.

Technical Analysis

Support & Resistance Level
Resistance 3 1,0937
Resistance 2 1,0905
Resistance 1 1,0864
Support 1 1,0791
Support 2 1,0760
Support 3 1,0719

Daily Pivot Levels

1.0717
1.0675
1.0598
1.0521
1.0479
1.0438
1.0361

GBPUSD

UK Finance Minister Jeremy Hunt said sticking to the inflation halving plan would help the economy grow again after official data showed gross domestic product rose 0.1% in November, a better result than economists had expected. On the other hand, Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey stated that the risk premium on UK assets has almost disappeared since September, but this confidence remains fragile. Unemployment rate data in the UK can be followed today.

Technical Analysis

Support & Resistance Level
Resistance 3 1,2383
Resistance 2 1,2336
Resistance 1 1,2266
Support 1 1,2148
Support 2 1,2101
Support 3 1,2031

Daily Pivot Levels

1.2239
1.2158
1.2034
1.1910
1.1830
1.1749
1.1625

XAUUSD

Although there was an increase towards the level of 1929 $ an ounce yesterday, it was observed that it had difficulty in moving above this level. However, profit sales, albeit limited, were observed. Despite the technical correction, it continues to hold its course above the $1900 level. The dollar index is trading between 102.26-102.55 this morning. Growth data from China was announced this morning and created a limited activity on the markets. There are no significant data streams to be announced in the US today. The World Economic Forum in Davos started yesterday and will conclude on January 20. The statements at the Davos Summit can be followed today.

Technical Analysis

Support & Resistance Level
Resistance 3 1943
Resistance 2 1930
Resistance 1 1925
Support 1 1907
Support 2 1899
Support 3 1888

Daily Pivot Levels

1,896.13
1,888.84
1,880.04
1,871.25
1,863.95
1,856.65
1,847.86

BRENT OIL

Oil prices started the new day with light buyers. In its report, Goldman Sachs mentioned that this year could be the year of commodities, with low stocks and the opening of China. It is seen that there is an expectation that oil prices will increase for the upcoming period. The OPEC monthly outlook report will follow this week. The World Economic Forum in Davos started yesterday and is expected to continue until 20 January. Statements from the Summit are followed throughout the day. Possible explanations for oil prices may cause volatility in prices.

Technical Analysis

Support & Resistance Level
Resistance 3 86,28
Resistance 2 85,76
Resistance 1 84,90
Support 1 83,52
Support 2 83,00
Support 3 82,14

Daily Pivot Levels

83.03
82.00
81.00
80.01
79.98
77.94
76.95

S&P500

While Chinese growth was at its lowest level since the 1970s, it also suppressed risk appetite in global markets. The S&P 500 closed the session yesterday at 3,999, up 0.40%. As of this morning, the S&P 500 December futures contract is at 4.005 and its horizontal positive outlook is followed.

Technical Analysis

Support & Resistance Level
Resistance 3 4057
Resistance 2 4042
Resistance 1 4026
Support 1 3995
Support 2 3980
Support 3 3965

Daily Pivot Levels

4,011.42
3,977.58
3,959.17
3,940.75
3,906.92
3,873.08
3,854.67

CREATE YOUR ACCOUNT


Put your trading knowledge into practice.

Invest Now 

RECEIVE EXPERT MARKET UPDATES


Join our mailing list and get regular emails straight to your inbox